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11/26/24

MIAMI @ GREEN BAY – THANKSGIVING NIGHT

 

            Don’t look now but it seems like the Miami Dolphins have crept back into the playoff conversation.  Thanksgiving Day is when we tend to reminisce about all that we are thankful for, such as our families, friends, successes & riches in life.  Everyone indulges in whatever their traditional feasts may be.  These banquets usually feature turkey, maybe stuffing, mashed potatoes, mac n cheese, cranberry sauce, plus an additional magnitude of other side dishes.  This is the annual tradition for an immense population of the U.S.  Also, per tradition the NFL broadcasts two games you can always count on being able to watch.  This has been a staple of the November North American holiday since 1934 when the Detroit Lions began this folklore when they hosted the Chicago Bears. (The NFL has been playing games on Thanksgiving since they were established in 1920, though the Lions were not featured until 1934).  The Dallas Cowboys became added to this holiday's football heritage over thirty years later in 1966.  Later, in a surprising twist, the league again decided to put an additional game on the Thanksgiving Day slate (2006).  The third game, which airs in the Primetime slot, is unlike the two-afternoon fixtures, featuring two different teams every year.

 

MIAMI DOLPHINS- 

            After an execrable start to the season for the Miami Dolphins, starting 1-3 due to Tua’s fourth concussion, then they had lost two straight even after Tua’s return; thus, finding themselves all but out of the mix for postseason play holding a 2-6 record.  However, this season is far from over, and the Dolphins are not quite yet eliminated from playoff contention.  Most people are not focusing on this Miami team, whether because of how awful they looked without Tua or because most of us thought he should/would call it a career.  Either way, they are quietly on a roll, winners of their last three consecutive games which makes this Thanksgiving Day primetime game an intriguing one, thus yet another reason for NFL fans to be thankful.  Upon looking over the Dolphins' remaining list of games, I wouldn’t exactly say they have an easy path to making the playoffs, although the Ravens beating the Chargers on Monday Night paired with the Chargers' gauntlet of challenges ahead certainly ameliorates Miami’s chances of reaching the postseason.  Now I don’t want to get ahead of myself, they still must beat the Packers first.  After that, they will play host to Aaron Rodgers and the Jets, then a game at NRG Stadium for a contest against the Houston Texans.  If they can find a way to beat both the Packers and Texans, I think they can go on a minimum of a six-game winning streak while taking down the Jets in between.  In my opinion, I’m planning on the Dolphins' last three games of the season to be what determines if they will be playing football after January 5th (week 18).

 

GREEN BAY PACKERS-

        Green Bay should feel pretty good about themselves sitting at 8-3, currently placed as the number 6 seed in the NFC playoff picture.  The Packers presently hold a 91% probability of making the postseason barring anything wild happens over their last six games this season.  Mike LaFleur’s team comes into this classic holiday finale producing the 5th most yards per game (381.9).  Jordan Love has taken a step back this season though they are only one spot outside the top ten in passing (230.3 ypg).  This offense has been relying more on the run game this season after striking gold in the offseason with the signing of veteran running back Josh Jacobs.  Jacobs is 3rd in rushing (944 yards) only trailing Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry putting him in great company.  That is only half the story for this team as they are also playing very well on defense.  They aren’t exactly a top-tier defensive unit but as of late, they have been coming along nicely on that side of the ball.  They rank 11th against the pass (206.5 ypg), 12th in run defense (112.7 ypg), while only allowing 319.3 total yards per game (11th).  Along with the recent improvements they’ve made in terms of the yardage they’re allowing.   They have also been getting better in scoring defense, permitting a 10th-best 20.3 points a week.  Safe to say that the Packers will hold their fates for their playoff hopes.  Sure, they can move up or down in the ceding, but this team should certainly be a key team in the postseason.  After this game with the Dolphins, their last five will come against three tougher teams such as their rival teams, the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings.  They will also meet the Seahawks, which could be a bit tougher than expected after Seattle’s recent two-game win streak.  Two of their last three should be wins as they will host the Saints in week 16 plus another home game in week 18 in their last division game of the regular season against the Chicago Bears.

                       

            Lastly, as forementioned, the Dolphins' situation is still a bit of a tricky one going forward for them to get into the playoffs.  They will need to continue winning by any means possible but at the same time will need some help.  The only team that could seemingly lose enough games purely by strength of schedule, looks to be the Los Angeles Chargers.  I don’t foresee either the Baltimore Ravens or Denver Broncos falling apart down the stretch with easier games left on their schedules.  The only other team that could factor into this scenario would be the Pittsburgh Steelers still having to play four divisional opponents, plus the Eagles in week 15 along with a brutal game slated for Christmas Day against the Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs.  I think the underdog (+3.5) Dolphins may come away with a victory in Green Bay to keep their playoff aspirations alive for at least one more week.

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