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11/21/24

NINERS VS. PACKERS – BATTLE OF THE BAY

 

This game is very meaningful for both teams as they are both jockeying for position in the NFC playoff picture. If the playoffs were to start today, sadly for the Forty-Niners players and fanbase, they would not make it in, which makes this one exceedingly more critical for them. The Packers would be guaranteed a spot, making it in as the 6th seed. This is somewhat the tale of two very good franchises that have been extremely successful in their respective histories. Both teams need a win here to stay within playoff contention. As aforementioned, it’s safe to say that San Francisco needs this win more than the Green Bay Packers.

San Fran has been beat up all year long with multiple starters on both sides of the ball having been injured coming into the season. It’s surely a sign of fatigue from constant postseason play over the past handful of seasons. Don’t worry, Niners fans, you’re not the only ones that feel these effects from long seasons; it is also about to catch up to Kansas City too, trust me. This is only natural when playing a game as brutal as football—people are going to get hurt, they will greatly become tired, as well as beaten to a pulp after having played considerably more games than almost every other team. Exhaustion will start to kick in, you will start to age a little, you will become more prone to injuries, and then you will wind up having to pay for it by losing a window of opportunity to get a Super Bowl title. It is a highly unfortunate part of sports with the type of physicality that football brings. This obviously has happened to some of even the greatest teams—only one team is left standing at the end of the day. It is also a game of wits just as much as it is a game of physicality. Some like to relate the sport of football to the game of chess, the coaches being the players, while the actual players are the pawns. To an extent, I believe those people are somewhat accurate in their depictions.

In the NFC West, all four teams are separated by one game. The Cardinals are atop the division with a 6-4 record, then the rest of the pack are all sitting with a 5-5 record. It is the tightest division top to bottom across the league. The Niners are presently holding the fourth-place spot in the NFC West after allowing Seattle to come away with a comeback win on the last drive of the game this past Sunday. Geno Smith drove the Seahawks down the field on an 11-play drive that took over 2 minutes to end it. The Seahawks came away with the road win after their 80-yard drive where Geno scrambled for a 13-yard run touchdown, giving 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy only 12 seconds to work with. Such a sad day for Kyle Shanahan and the Niners losing to a Seattle team that had lost five of their last six games. This was a crucial game in which San Fran needed to come out on top, especially with it being a divisional game. Now, not only did they drop to last in the West, but they are also 1-3 in their division, putting their playoff hopes largely in jeopardy. If they have any aspirations of playing games in January, they need to come out of this gauntlet with two or fewer losses—Packers, Bills, Bears, Rams, Dolphins, Lions, and the Cardinals. This would be a tough task for anyone. If I may be honest, the Niners’ season is basically over. I could see them being able to win a few of these games, though having this remaining schedule when you already have five losses in the season will ultimately prove to be too challenging to overcome.

Life in the NFC North is very pressing this year as well. When you must play teams like the Vikings, Lions, and Bears twice each year, you had better be on your A-game all season long. Losing too many divisional games could be devastating to your playoff dreams by the end of the year. So can too many losses inside the conference in general. Luckily for the Packers, they were able to come away with a victory against the Bears last Sunday in Chicago, blocking what would have been a game-winning 46-yard field goal. It should go without saying that it was a huge deal, as this win separated Green Bay from being 0-3 in the NFC North division to being 1-2. This gives them some hope moving forward, clinging on to the six seed in the NFC playoff race. They are currently holding a half-game lead over Washington for 6th place (Washington has a week 14 bye) but doesn’t have much of a margin for error as the whole NFC West is only two games back (all three teams are sitting at 5-5). Matt LaFleur, along with Jeff Hafley (Packers DC), will have some serious work to do to whip this defense into shape fast. Green Bay’s next three games have them facing two of the top scoring offenses in points per game, passing yards per game, and rushing yards, along with being second and third best in total yards per game (SF & DET). The Packers’ offense will need to win in time of possession against San Fran while relying on a heavy, balanced game plan as they are pretty good against both the run and pass, ranking 8th in each category. They are giving up more yards through the air than on the ground, but you should still get Josh Jacobs his touches early and often to make their linebackers stack the box. Then, Love can unleash his arsenal of weapons in the passing game with one of the best groups of wideouts the league has to offer (Watson, Doubs, Reed, & Kraft).

Shanahan is widely known as an offensive-minded guru, which has been proven in recent years by the large success of Brock Purdy. If anyone can win a big game when it matters most, I wouldn’t bet against him. San Fran possesses one of the top rushing offensive units in the league, even more so now with Christian McCaffrey back from injury. Green Bay does rank 14th in rush yards allowed (119.6 yards per game), though I would still assume Shanahan will be pounding the rock early and often with their two-headed rushing attack. The Packers haven’t been as successful with their pass rush this season (18th in sacks); the effects of this have resulted in their opponents being able to have a little more boom in the passing game. Packers allow 207.5 pass yards per game, ranking 13th leaguewide. They also just came off a game against the Chicago Bears where they permitted almost 400 total yards (391) to a subpar offense.

Lastly, although I do not see the Niners making the postseason this year in a division that looks as if it will more than likely be sending only one team to the playoffs, I do like them to upset this Green Bay Packers team (SF +1.5) one week removed from barely coming away victorious by way of a blocked kick. 

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