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11/16/24

STEELERS & RAVENS - AFC NORTH BRAWL

 

History has shown us that whenever the Baltimore Ravens play the Pittsburgh Steelers this matchup is always classified as a brutal, battering, defensive beatdown for both teams.  Over the years a lot may’ve changed in terms of player personnel, coordinators, some staff members, even maybe the name of the stadium (Acrisure Stadium, formerly Heinz Field) at least that’s the case for the Steelers.  At the same time, a lot has remained unchanged.  Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh’s head coach is still going strong in this his 18th season and still holds a top NFL defense with regularity.  Baltimore still employs John Harbaugh as the man in charge of the Ravens who is now in his 17th year, possess one of the best teams in the league and often has throughout his tenure with the club.  One of the main differences would be that the Steelers indubitably have a much better offensive unit behind very good quarterback play for the first time since “Big” Ben Roethlisberger decided to hang up his cleats in 2022.  Russell Wilson will be competing against last year’s NFL MVP Lamar Jackson as divisional nemeses for the first time in his career.

After Wilsons copious tenancy in Seattle enduring playoff success over his decade long run there, we all remember the apparent downfall during his two seasons in Denver.  That reason alone people have gone on a constant rant saying that Wilsons career was cooked with nothing left in said 35-year-olds arm.  When you claim to be an NFL fan, but don’t watch game footage, solely listen to the media, these are the results you conclude with.  Reality shows you that his first season in Denver, Russell was playing in a brand-new system for his fourth consecutive season (3 different OC’s last 3 years in Seattle) which would be hard for even the Peyton Mannings or Tom Brady’s of the world.  On top of that he was also getting acquainted with an entire new team, offensive line and skilled positions.  That is tough on any quarterback, especially a 33-year-old who was also coming off an injury.  Denver’s O-line play certainly didn’t make it any easier on him as he was sacked more than any other QB in the league during his tenure in Mile High.  Year two things started to improve and by seasons end Wilson found himself with near identical passer statistics as the forementioned 2023 MVP, Lamar Jackson.

I have been on record speaking highly of the Baltimore Ravens and Lamar Jackson ever since he was drafted 32nd overall of the 2018 NFL Draft.  Jackson showed the nation how extremely gifted he was early on, winning the Heisman Trophy during his Sophomore season at Louisville where he had 51 total touchdowns while recording over 5,000 all-purpose yards.  That notched him into the college history books and he hasn’t looked back since.  Lamar already owns two regular season NFL MVPs and looks to be a clear-cut top three favorite to earn his third this season.  Baltimore’s QB is on pace to surpass 5,200 total yards this season as he has already thrown for more than 2,600 yards (2,669yds-2nd) plus an additional 500+ yards on the ground (538 yds), presently 21st of all players in rushing, while obviously leading all quarterbacks.  The Ravens as a whole, currently pace the league as the top rushing attack with a combined 1,826 yards registered by the likes of Jackson, Derrick Henry (1,120 yards-2nd) plus a sprinkle of Justice Hill.  They are closely followed by an exceptional Philadelphia Eagles team (1,813 rush yds) that boasts their very own QB, running back one-two punch on the ground with Barkley (1,137 yds-1st) and Hurts.  It is expected that Baltimore will probably start with the ground game against a very stingy Steelers defense.  Though it may be harder for them to continue their success here against a Teryl Austin led defense (Steelers DC) having the fourth best run defense all season while only allowing 87.1 rushing yards on average (ranks 4th).  With that said, the best way to attack Pittsburgh is to throw the ball early and often knowing that they are 19th against the pass (215.6 yds pg). 

Ravens also have a defensive weakness that the Steelers will look to exploit.  Ironically enough it is the same weakness the Steelers have shown, though for Baltimore it has been far worse.  The Ravens are ranked 1st in the NFL in rush defense only ceding 73 yards per game, however, possess the absolute worst pass defense which has already allowed 2,949 yards this season with an average just shy of 300 a week (294.9 ypg).  Russell Wilson has honestly been working with middling talent on the outside with receivers such as Van Jefferson, Calvin Austin III, tight end Pat Freiermuth, and their number one wideout George Pickens.  Nothing against any of those men but they aren’t exactly a top tier arsenal leaguewide.  Pittsburgh did slightly upgrade their receiver room upon the addition of ex-Chargers and most recently New York Jets wideout Mike Williams after his stay there that didn’t exactly work out for Rodgers and company.  Williams could quickly gain a strong rapport with Wilson, which will also help Pickens’ growth over the rest of the season, and we could possibly see something special happen in the playoffs if my projections prove to be right.  This AFC rivalry game could wind up as one of the best games of the week, if not the season.  I’m surprised that the NFL hasn’t chosen to flex this matchup into the Sunday Night game slot, rather than having us sit through a less attractive Bengals and Chargers game.

Much like the last article I wrote, this game also has a ton of meaning in terms of playoff implications.  Baltimore presently ranks as the top Wild Card team (5th in AFC) in the playoff picture with a 7-3 record and sits a half game behind (Bal has week 14 bye) the Steelers in the AFC North.  Baltimore hopes they can find a way to climb to second place in the conference with a win, plus a Bills loss to the Chiefs which would automatically propel them there due to the week 4 blowout win Ravens had over Buffalo (35-10).  They only have one blemish in divisional contests (2-1) thus far with their loss to Cleveland (24-29).  That loss says more about the Ravens not being able to seal the deal late in games than it does about a bad Browns team. (Ravens have lost 8 games with two minutes or less since 2022.) Steelers oddly enough have yet to play any of their adversaries.  Pittsburgh has quite an abnormal schedule, playing all six divisional games over the final 8 game stretch of the season (4 straight beginning this Sunday).  One would assume that the Steelers aren’t exactly viewing this game in the same light as the Ravens, not being as much of a meaningful game with them atop the North and having to play 5 more AFC North contests over the final 7 weeks.  The current spread for this Pittsburgh home game favors Baltimore (-3) in what is generally a very close game.

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