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12/14/24

BILLS MAFIA INVADES 313

 

          Ford Field will have two shades of blue in their arena tomorrow afternoon.  Nickel City is coming to Detroit and bringing their often-rowdy Bills Mafia fans with them.  We can only hope they don’t bring their tables with them, a fanbase notorious for jumping and slamming people through tables like they are WWE wrestlers.  I am extremely excited about this game!  Though as a fan of a team that also plays in the same time slot, I wish this would have been scheduled as the Sunday Night game and many others may also be wondering why this is not.  These two teams are both very much in the Super Bowl discussion this year and for good reasons.  They are the top two scoring offenses in the NFL through 14 weeks, along with two top 10 defenses in points allowed.  This contest has all the makings of a heavyweight fight!  In one corner you have a man who was being discussed as an early favorite for MVP, Lions QB Jared Goff, and in the other corner, you have another possible regular season MVP in Josh Allen.

          I did some research for this game and found that these two teams have met twelve times in the history of their franchises.  Buffalo leads the series with a record of 7-4-1.  Buffalo, aka Queen City of Lakes, has often left the pride drowning as the Bills not only own the series but have also beaten the Lions 50% of the time in Detroit.  The Bills have been on a roll against the Lions winning six of their last seven meetings, two of which were at Ford Field including their last game when Buffalo beat Detroit 28-25 in 2022.  The biggest difference for the Lions this time around would have to be their dual running threat, Sonic & Knuckles.  In case you don’t know what, I am speaking of this was the nickname given to their two rushers Jahymr Gibbs (Sonic) and David Mongomery (Knuckles).  The nickname just symbolizes the speed of Gibbs which perfectly mixes with the hard-running style of Mongomery.

         

          Detroit has been widely known for being one of the grittiest teams in the NFL ever since Dan Campbell took the reigns as their head coach back in January of 2021.  This has been largely publicized as ultimately the best decision the Detroit Lions have made in the history of their organization.  What Campbell has built there is truly incredible.  Taking a team with a miserable history and turning it into a powerhouse for the foreseeable future is a true testament to how well he knows football and his beliefs for what can become greatness.  Trading Matthew Stafford for Jared Goff was scrutinized and criticized leaguewide when the Lions made the move per Stafford’s suggestion.  There are still doubters when it comes to Goff, but the reality is that he is one of the most reliable quarterbacks in the NFL today.  Sure, he may not be in your top five most desirable QBs when it comes to fantasy football, but going into week 15 he has his Lions sitting atop the NFC and the entire league tied with KC for first place at 12-1.  Detroit’s offensive coordinator Ben Johnson has this unit placed as second-best in total yardage per game and that will only continue with the pieces they have.  They have a top 5 O-line that has allowed the 8th least sacks this year, and three highly impressive receivers (Amon-Ra St.Brown, Jameson Williams, & Tim Patrick) as outlets at Goff's disposal plus a tight end in his second year who is coming off a Pro Bowl season (Sam Laporta).        

LIONS OFFENSE:

TOTAL OFFENSE P/G- 394.8 (2ND)

RUSH YARDS P/G- 151.1 (4TH)

PASS YARDS P/G- 243.8 (4TH)

POINTS P/G- 32.1 (1ST)

TOTAL SKS ALLOWED- 25 (8TH)

 

LIONS DEFENSE:

TOTAL YARDS P/G- 318.6 (10TH)

RUSH YARDS P/G- 93.9 (5TH)

PASS YARDS P/G- 224.7 (24TH)

POINTS P/G- 18.0 (T-2ND)

TOTAL SACKS- 31 (T-19TH)

 

          The Buffalo Bills are heading to Detroit with a ton of confidence in their back pockets.  Buffalo is coming off a loss, though Josh Allen had his best performance of his career, accounting for six touchdowns himself.  Allen put up all 42 points alone last Sunday (minus PATs) as the Bills still managed to lose 44-42 to a quickly turned-around Los Angeles Rams squad.  Buffalo’s QB threw three touchdowns while also rushing for an added three scores, literally doing everything in his power to win the game, without a single turnover.  Buffalo’s OC Joe Brady will have his full repertoire of players ready to go into combat against Aaron Glenn’s (Detroit’s DC) number-two-ranked scoring defense.  Running back James Cook should be back to himself this week after having a dud against the Rams and Brady should utilize him steadily in their passing game, which should cause mismatch issues for Detroit with all the injuries to the Lions linebackers.  Josh should also greatly benefit from veteran Amari Cooper and rookie Keon Coleman, both back in full health.  Cooper comes into this game being targeted 14 times last week (most targets for him in a game this season) while hauling in 6 receptions for 95 yards.  Their tight end Dalton Kincaid has missed the previous three games but was a full go at practice on Wednesday.  He is listed as questionable, but I’d bet he’ll be available Sunday.

 

BILLS OFFENSE:

TOTAL YARDS P/G- 355.0 (10TH)

RUSH YARDS P/G- 125.7 (11TH)

PASS YARDS P/G- 229.3 (12TH)

POINTS P/G- 30.5 (2ND)

TOTAL SKS ALLOWED- 13 (1ST)

 

BILLS DEFENSE:

TOTAL YARDS P/G- 332.0 (14TH)

RUSH YARDS P/G- 123.1 (19TH)

PASS YARDS P/G- 208.9 (9TH)

POINTS P/G- 20.6 (8TH)

TOTAL SACKS- 29 (T-22ND)

 

          This game may very well come down to whoever possesses the ball last and could be a high-scoring game.  I think the Bills will probably have a pass-happy game plan with Detroit giving up the 22nd most passing yards per game.  The Lions haven’t had much of a pass rush ever since their all-star edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson went down at the beginning of the season with a leg injury.  On the other side, the Lions' offense can beat you by way of ground or air, though the smarter move would be to ground and pound on Bobby Babich’s (Bills DC) 19th-ranked run defense.  I mean they are the only NFL team currently with two premier running backs, as aforementioned Sonic & Knuckles (Gibbs and Montgomery).  Gibbs is 5th in rushing yards this season (1,016 yards) while both backs rank in the top ten in rushing touchdowns (Montgomery 3rd-12tds, Gibbs 9th-10tds).  It is also notable to add that Josh Allen ironically is ranked 10th in rushing touchdowns this season with 9.  Allen is the ultimate weapon and one of the most athletic QBs the NFL has ever seen.  He is also 6th in passing TDs with 23, while Jared Goff ranks one spot higher at 5th with 25 TDs.  Buffalo goes into Ford Field as +2.5 underdogs, but I would bet the Lions stay hot, winners of their last 11 straight who haven’t lost a game since week 2.

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