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12/14/24

PUGNACIOUS IN PENNSYLVANIA

 

        This upcoming Sunday offers NFL fans some enticing games slated for week 15.  One of these intriguing interconference matchups that is gaining a lot of steam leading up to kickoff is a battle of two teams within the same state.  The Mike Tomlin-led Pittsburgh Steelers will travel to Philadelphia as they take on coach Nick Sirianni’s Philadelphia Eagles.  These two franchises will go head-to-head for the 82nd time in NFL history.  Philly leads the all-time series when competing against Pittsburgh, 49-29-3, 48 of those wins came in the regular season.  No, they never met in a Super Bowl, however, the two franchises met in the 1947 NFL Eastern Division Championship and the Eagles won 21-0.  The largest margin of victory between them was when the E-A-G-L-E-S dismantled them 45-3 in 1942.  The Steelers' biggest win came in 1959, with black and gold shutting out gang green 31-0.  Philly also owns the longest win streak of the series ripping off 7 consecutive victories 1947-1950.  The last meeting was also won by the Eagles, 35-13 in 2022.

 

        Pittsburgh has had a strong season to this point.  Mike Tomlin is proving how great of a coach he is while leading the Steelers to a 10-3 record this season.  They are currently looking as if they could be a legitimate threat to the Kansas City Chiefs.  Is the Steel Curtain era back?  They certainly are making a case for it, T.J. Watt is the odds-on favorite to win DPOTY, Teryl Austin’s (DC) defense is in the top 5 in scoring and total yards, defensive tackle Cam Hayward has turned back the hands of time, and Mike Tomlin is also in the running for the COTY!  Offensively, they’ve also been getting better by the week.  Russell Wilson has been proving his time in Denver was merely a fluke as he has helped them become the 10th-best scoring unit in the league this season.  In terms of passing, they are averaging just over 268 yards in their last 3 weeks.  However, they will have to look towards other weapons for Russ on the outside as George Pickens has already been listed as out with a nagging hamstring injury.

 

STEELERS OFFENSE:

TOTAL YARDS P/G- 338.1 (16TH)

RUSH YARDS P/G- 132.1 (9TH)

PASS YARDS P/G- 206.0 (23RD)

POINTS P/G- 24.8 (10TH)

TOTAL SACKS ALLOWED- 35 (20TH)

 

STEELERS DEFENSE:

TOTAL DEFENSE P/G- 310.2 (7TH)

RUSH YARDS P/G- 91.5 (5TH)

PASS YARDS P/G- 218.6 (18TH)

POINTS P/G- 18.3 (5TH)

TOTAL SACKS- 32 (T-15TH)

 

        The Eagles have been playing great football this year as well.  They are the second-best team in the NFC, only one game back from the Detroit Lions, and have now won nine straight dating back to week 5.  Philly had initially started a little flat on defense this season, then down the stretch, they’ve been one of the best defenses in the league.  Much credit goes to Vic Fangio (DC), he has since coached his men to become a premier unit in defensive scoring.  This Eagles team has two amazing rookie cornerbacks bolstering the back end and holding opposing offenses to the second least passing yards per game.  I don’t know what the Steelers' offense will be able to accomplish against Fangio’s men, they don’t have any real weaknesses, only progressively get stronger with time.  The only real thing that is worrisome for this team is their passing game on the offensive side.  Their air attack has been atrocious this year.  I guess you can attribute that to the fact that Saquon has just been so good that they haven’t had to worry about the passing game in the same way as in past years.  In Philly’s last three games, their air attack averaged roughly 120 yards a game.  Last week was by far their worst, maybe ever for the Philadelphia franchise as Jalen Hurts only threw for 83 yards.  Maybe another piece to this puzzle could be the fact that A.J. Brown and Jalen don’t seem to be on the same page as of late and Brandon Graham made comments to the media about a week ago stating that there may be a problem in the city of brotherly love.

 

EAGLES OFFENSE:

TOTAL OFFENSE P/G- 371.7 (6TH)

RUSH YARDS P/G- 190.5 (1ST)

PASS YARDS P/G- 180.6 (31ST)

POINTS P/G – 26.3 (8TH)

TOTAL SACKS ALLOWED- 36 (22ND)

EAGLES DEFENSE:

TOTAL DEFENSE P/G- 284.2 (1ST)

RUSH YARDS P/G- 105.8 (8TH)

PASS YARDS P/G- 178.5 (2ND)

POINTS P/G – 18.0 (T-2ND)

TOTAL SACKS- 37 (T-7TH)

 

        Though Philly has excelled thus far with the ground game having the offense go through the league's leading rusher Saquon Barkley, they may wind up playing right into the hands of the Steelers' strength if they use a heavy dose of running script against them.  Pittsburgh only allows 91 yards per game in rushing as the stats above point out, meaning I think that Hurts will have to get back on track with receivers DeVonta Smith & A.J. Brown if they want to beat this non-bendable ore of defense.  If Tomlin wants to show the state of P.A. that Steel City is bigger than the home of the Liberty Bell, he will need to attack the Eagles where it hurts most.  Pittsburgh, as I already mentioned, will be without Wilson’s number one target, so it makes even more sense to attack the Eagles' rush defense.  Look for Arthur Smith to deploy both running backs to try and wear down their opponents, while also utilizing Jaylen Warren on bubble screens and in other passing situations.  Then Smith can attempt to get Russ out of the pocket to throw some of those moonballs to Van Jefferson, Mike Williams, Pat Freiermuth, and the rest of the skilled players.  My thoughts on this game will be that it will be a closely contested one and quite possibly a lower-scoring game.  Assuming the spread stays where it is currently, Pittsburgh will be +5.5 underdogs.  The funny thing about the Steelers being underdogs is they are undefeated this year when placed as such.  If I were betting on this one, I would take those 5.5 points, it could wind up ending with a three-point margin.    

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